Luxury Market declines in 2016 for the first time since 2009:
The global personal luxury goods market shrank by around one percent in 2016, marking the first year of negative growth for the industry since 2009, according to research released Monday by consultancy Bain & Company.
Yet the industry has recovered to notch up growth of around 4 percent in the first quarter of 2017, helped by weak comparisons from the year earlier period which had been strongly knocked by terrorism, according to the research. The consultants anticipate steady momentum for 2017 but a slowdown in its pace, with Bain & Company citing a year end forecast of 2 – 4 percent growth.
Authors of the research described the final quarter of 2016 as “encouraging”, citing first and foremost the reawakened appetite of mainland Chinese consumers for luxury purchases made both at home and abroad. This contrasts with the picture in Hong Kong and Macau where the trend of big losses in recent years may have slowed but has not yet reversed.
China continues to act as the linchpin in the global luxury market with Federica Levato, partner at Bain & Company, saying there isn’t another region or country in the near-term which will be able to assume the same role that the so-called Middle Kingdom has been playing.
Luxury purchases are made from the excess resources, so they may be a good measure of the extent of r or K. Clearly under Obama we were on the fast track to Apocalypse. The exuberance produced by Trump’s pro-business attitudes seems to be alleviating the restriction somewhat, but I expect that eventually the underlying fundamentals of our debt, as well as leftist intransigence will catch up to it. All we are waiting on is a good scare.
And on that note, Altair is getting out into cash:
Australian asset manager Altair Asset Management has made the extraordinary decision to liquidate its Australian shares funds and return “hundreds of millions” of dollars back to its clients, citing an impending property market “calamity” and the “overvalued and dangerous time in this cycle”…
“We think that there is too much risk in this market at the moment, we think it’s crazy,” Mr Parker said more candidly…
Mr Parker outlined a roll call of “the more obvious reasons to exit the riskier asset markets of shares and property”.
They included: the Australian east-coast property market “bubble” and its “impending correction”; worries that issues around China’s hot property sector and escalating debt levels will blow up “later this year”; “oversized” geopolitical risks and an “unpredictable” US political environment; and the “overvalued” Aussie equity market.
I am certain there is a scare coming, and it could even take things into Apocalypse. We know finance has a lot of clever rabbits in it, who view President Trump as satan incarnate. I assume they do not want him overseeing an economic revival, and they are planning on crashing things to try and forestall his reelection.
The only question is, when to do it. Do it too early and it can be blamed on Obama. Do it too late and President Trump may have the economy and jobs roaring, making inflicting a crash too difficult and costly. I don’t know when they will try it, but I hope the White House has a plan to lay the blame for it at the feet of the Democrats. If I were there now, I would begin creating a meme of how Democrats are constantly operating against President Trump’s efforts to shore up the economy. That way, when the collapse hits, the blame will be firmly at the feet of the leftist intransigence President Trump deals with every day.
Spread r/K Theory, because what is coming is the leftist’s fault
[…] Signs Of Apocalypse’s Approach? […]
Soros and his wrecking crew will probably stage a few massive riots this summer. That will be the excuse to tank the markets and attempt impeachment. I don’t think rabbit HQ is capable of waiting until late next year.
Is Mike Cernovich aware of r/K? This needs to be brought to his attention. With his help, branding the Dems as market crashers would be a lot easier. Also, get 4Chan involved.
Could someone provide an example of how the r’s could even crash the economy?
A simple contraction of the money supply by the federal reserve would do it.
I’m only finding out how significant a role is played by fixation via genetic drift. eg. “Lethal mutagenesis and evolutionary epidemiology” As the Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Scie 2010 Jun 27;
For instance, I want to be very clear in my mind about the limiting cases Muller’s ratchet. The rate of deleterious mutations undergoing weak selection may spread to fixation within a population. The concept can be extended from protein behaviour to ours. And as time goes no, it can be more likely than a reversion of the mutation.
“The vast majority of mutations are deleterious, and are eliminated
by purifying selection. Yet in finite asexual populations, purifying
selection cannot completely prevent the accumulation of deleterious
mutations due to Muller’s ratchet: once lost by stochastic
drift, the most-fit class of genotypes is lost forever. If deleterious
mutations are weakly selected, Muller’s ratchet turns into a mutational
“meltdown” leading to a rapid degradation of population
fitness. …for any population size N and mutation rate U. Assuming
that beneficial and deleterious mutations have the same fitness
effect s, we calculate the fraction of beneficial mutations, , that
maintains the balanced state. We find that a surprisingly low
suffices to maintain stability, even in small populations in the face
of high mutation rates and weak selection. “