One Reason Donald’s Surge May Come Later On Election Day – Poor Establishment GOTV Efforts

Early voting looks quite good in some places:

Another dramatic turn of events is being reported out of North Carolina this afternoon: Donald Trump has jumped past all expectations in early voting!

In 2012, Romney hit Election Day down 447,000 votes, based on early ballots. He went on to win the state by 97,000 votes.

Now, the DRUDGE REPORT can reveal, Trump opens Election Day down 305,000!

Drudge says Trump is up by 120,000 in Florida.

And yet, there are those who see doom in the early voting:

Now, back to Pat Caddell and Doug Schoen and the similarities in 1980 and today. There are many. Reagan was seen much as Trump is seen by both Republicans and Democrats. The polling data going into election in 1980, the last poll, which was like a week out, had Carter winning by nine…

An hour into election night coverage on NBC they proclaimed Reagan a landslide winner…

There was no early voting. So you had no indication at all, other than exit polling, how 1980 was going to go. They say that early voting throws all of that comparison to 1980 out the window. Essentially they say that the existence of early voting and the volume of early voting eliminates the possibility of a late surge for anybody. The late surge is the early voting, they say. And the difference is early voting is known. It’s a known quantity. It’s known by virtue of party loyalty. We don’t know how early voters are voting, but we know how many of them are Republican and Democrat.

So they concluded, Caddell, which was a change of heart, concluded, yeah, okay, when you factor that in, Hillary’s probably going to win, after having believed that we were on a trajectory that made this a potential 1980 again. Which meant a surprise massive number of people coming out for Trump that weren’t counted. They say early voting eliminates that possibility. They’re the experts. I’m not so sure. The assumption there is that if there is this giant groundswell, if there is this late-breaking surge, that it’s already shown up. And you can see who it is in the early voting…

The Drive-Bys and the Democrats have been worried about a late surge of unregistered voters all these years, people who have never voted or very rarely voted because they’re so fed up they don’t think the system is affected by elections. They don’t think their vote matters. They think that the people that run the show are going to do what they do no matter what the people want. So they’ve tuned out. And there are, of the adult population, about roughly 50 percent that do not vote every election. And it’s been a fear on the Democrat side that Trump is connecting with those people and that waves and waves of them could show up on Election Day. So Caddell and Schoen say, no, no, no, no. They’ve already shown up.

There are two factors to be considered here, I think.

One, according to party affiliation among early voters, the professionals think Trump should lose this handily. And yet he is outperforming Romney by some measure in the areas we are looking at. That would indicate Trump is causing democrats to cross party lines. Democrats are voting for him. Union members, black males, ornery Bernie Supporters, and so on are submitting ballots, the pros are assuming those ballots are for Hillary, but when the votes are tallied, they must be for Trump, because Trump is rocking the vote better than Romney, and Romney would have won had he not faced Obama’s consolidated black vote.

The second factor is that Trump’s surge may very well come on election day, because the GOP Establishment hobbled its get out the vote effort for Donald, by not mailing out absentee ballot applications. Every election cycle, I got an absentee ballot application, and there were years I got two from different groups. This year, I got none. Now if I were in a normal year, with some establishment Cuckservative, I might use that ballot, but not vote on election day. But with Donald on the ballot, I would crawl over broken glass on election day once I realized I had not gotten my absentee ballot, and I might fail to vote.

In that Establishment Cuck election cycle, with absentee ballots flying everywhere, the Republican early numbers would look great, and Schoen and Caddell would say it was going to be a Republican rout. But on election night, Romney would be conceding because his base didn’t turn out.

Donald has a get out the vote effort – it is called Donald Trump. The force which will drive people to the polls is the same force that created all those Donald Trump signs and bumper stickers you see when you are out an about. It is the same force which has filled stadiums across the nation. If the GOP didn’t send any of those people an absentee ballot application, which they probably didn’t, all that did was bottle up that force, and focus it all on election day – the only day it can find release. That force will drive them to the polls.

My gut feel is that between Donald outperforming Romney in the early vote despite the GOP trying to hobble his absentee voter efforts, what appears to be a significant crossover vote in that early voting, and the enthusiasm for his campaign driving election turnout on election day, Donald should win this.

Nothing is guaranteed. Hillary does have a massive “drag the indigent retards to the polls by the thousands and offer them a cigarette to vote for Hillary” program. Hillary probably does have thousands of people mailing in thousands of fraudulent ballots each. There are likely rabbit computer programmers who are trying to get access to the voting system to rig it. Fraud will be everywhere.

But Donald seems well poised, so we can wait on calling the election rigged beyond repair for now. If he wins, we may actually see all the fraud, the corruption, and even the Cuckservative elites washed away as DC is cleaned out like the Augean stables.

The Apocalypse is still coming. But we may get a reprieve to get out preparations in order – and that is nothing but good.