Illinois is on track to become the first U.S. state to have its credit rating downgraded to “junk” status, which would deepen its multibillion-dollar deficit and cost taxpayers more for years to come.
S&P Global Ratings has warned the agency will likely lower Illinois’ creditworthiness to below investment grade if feuding lawmakers fail to agree on a state budget for a third straight year, increasing the amount the state will have to pay to borrow money for things such as building roads or refinancing existing debt.
The outlook for a deal wasn’t good Saturday, as lawmakers meeting in Springfield for a special legislative session remained deadlocked with the July 1 start of the new fiscal year approaching.
As I look out on the parades of fat, hairy Italian guys in Victorian dresses, and the helpless liberal rabbits complaining we are not importing radical Muslims fast enough, it is apparent that we are setting some sort of record for peak-r.
This level of r is not natural for our species. I do not believe it happens in nature anywhere except where a sole consumer of some plentiful resource like grass is hunted to near extinction. When I look out now, I see humans who are psychologically deformed, like some African woman with a giraffe neck from all the metal rings she has clamped around her neck from the time she was a child.
Though not an expert, I suspect Rome had a similar crippling force. In Rome is was the riches of conquered lands and copious slave labor. In our time, the deforming force that has left our people so crippled psychologically was debt spending.
When Ronald Reagan first decided that we could borrow and spend faster than the Russians, the die were cast, and we were consigned to entering a period of peak r that would be unprecedented. Once rabbitized by that initial fix of free money, we were destined to head back to the credit line like a junkie.
Now K is back, but it doesn’t hit everywhere, all at once. K begins in the poorest areas, and the most rabbitized. As it overtakes those areas, the migrants flee to the remaining bastions of r, and like locusts, they consume every free resource they can, before picking up and fleeing again.
We are now beginning to see this wave sweep over the world. Poor areas like Africa that depend on free resource influxes from wealthier nations see and feel the early K, and their migrants flee. Areas high in r, like Puerto Rico, see it too even though they are not as poor.
Now the K is just arriving in America, and even despite the nation’s wealth, the rabbitized areas are beginning to feel the crunch, in the form of investors being hesitant to lend them money to facilitate their free resource buffet. These resource constrictions will cascade down the food chain, reducing jobs, diminishing spending in stores, driving real estate prices down, and diminishing everyone’s perceptions of their overall wealth. And then one day it will hit, and everybody will stop lending, shutting off the borrowing by force.
I expect that before the collapse we will see the rabbitized areas, panicked with K, threaten the responsible K areas in some fashion, with some consequence like putting all their homeless bums on busses and sending them to the K area. The K areas, still unaffected by the shocking psychological effects of shortage will have to decide, to appease the r areas and avoid the small amount of early conflict, or stand up and endure the minor early conflict, in the hopes of being better off later, in the Apocalypse.
All of it is preparation for the fall of the US Government, which I think will appear somewhat like the collapse of the Soviet Union. Paychecks with either stop, or become worthless, and people will just walk away to find niches where they can exchange value elsewhere.
I suppose r and K are a pendulum, and we have swung quite far toward the r side of things. Still, it is surprising to see just how powerful a little debt spending can be. No nation on earth could have destroyed Ronald Reagan’s America. But give Congress a credit card, and there will literally be almost nothing left.
This whole experience has completely changed how I view warfare. Flooding a competitor with free resources is about the most counter-intuitive means of destruction I could imagine. But who could argue with the results?
Spread r/K Theory, because you can make your enemies destroy themselves with kindness
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Which is why the Marshall Plan was far worse for Germany than the treaty of Versailles.
I am wondering what’s your judgment on this:
https://notpoliticallycorrect.me/2017/06/25/e-o-wilson-on-rushtons-rk-theory-and-more-on-endemic-disease/
It seems to differ quite alot from your theory on r/K selection.
First, the article is well written in terms of rehashing established beliefs about r/K. But I have found many of those established beliefs seem to either diverge into minutia of limited importance, or misattribute what should be very simply forces driving the two strategies. r and K are simply strategies that adapt to resource availability in high population densities. How much do you have to compete with others to mate and survive. If you need to compete, you get aggressive, male-dominated chimps waging wars with other tribes. If resources are plentiful and the loser can flee and get free resources elsewhere, you get Bonobos, where pacifistic, female centric societies revolve around mating.
As an example of the muddled approach, disease can support either r or K, but not because it is r or K. If a disease is sexually transmitted, or preferentially affects those with reduced disgust or increased openness to out-groups, or some combination thereof, it will support K, even though it does not related to individual competition. It simply culls for a trait that accompanies either r or K. If it is a mosquito-borne disease that kills back randomly, and only increases resource availability relative to the individual, then it will support r, although I do not think it is r, per se, although it will free up resources.
Rushton was probably right, in terms that races do seem to have somewhat different overall time perspectives and mating strategies when you aggregate all the various subpopulations. But I think the article is right in that you do have a lot of differences between different African environments, as well as among Western and Eastern environments today. So just as you have Chimps and Bonobos who look similar, and live near each other relatively, but are totally different psychologically, I am not sure it is best to mix all different populations of races. My own feeling is Rushton over simplified things too much. I’d like to know the difference between specific areas of Africa and Europe, as well as how later evolution and divergence between royal bloodlines and peasants affected things among Whites. And of course, Rushton totally ignored the roles of epigenetics, and environmentally mediated cognitive modeling, both of which I believe mold r and K in the individuals. Black welfare queens today on welfare in inner cities will be totally different from third generation US Marines who grew up in the country, even though both may have similar genes. Welfare’s effect on the black family structure in the inner cities is not genetic, IMO. That is at least 85% epigenetics and real time cognitive modeling in response to resource availability.
Hell, let me win the Powerball and I would probably be pretty different in twenty years mentally, compared to losing everything and having to scratch out a living in a factory twelve hours a day, and that is with identical genetics.
My goal is simple. Turn all the K’s on the r’s, and not let us get mired in K on K violence, instigated by r’s. To do that, I think you need to look much closer, almost down to the individual level. Creating these broad examinations will reveal some differences, but I think it muddles the real origin of those differences in the process.
Having read the article, it could be that higher mortality among Africans (malaria, big cats) causes a propensity for r selection, and lower IQ is an adaptation for that. This lower IQ may be caused by smaller heads which can more easily exit the birth canal as well as shorter time to maturity for breeding. Surviving winter is not random, like disease and predation which are partly random. Surviving winters is K.
How much longer do you think it will be until we see a full on collapse of the US economy? I know all you can give is a best guess but I’m ready to start chucking rabbits out of helicopters.
What makes prediction very difficult is the fact that it is tough to say whether they will try to trigger it on Trump’s watch or hold it off as long as they can.
If they try to trigger it early, it could hit in three years. If they hold it off and take whatever they can get, it could be twelve to fifteen years, though I suspect something would trigger it in nine or ten.
Then again, if Trump can boost confidence, he could put it off five or so years. But the debt at this point is too great, and the country is too lacking in the willingness to sacrifice now to prevent bad stuff later. It is coming.
Great.. saw your post at Council of European Canadians and Tara McCarthy covered this too .. thanks .. interesting work.. shared.
Realized I cannot share the blog/post with my blog.. doesn’t have the ‘blogger’ option… great website though.. will link to your blog from mine.
Has anyone sent a Hallmark card of extreme gratitude to Governor Wilson in Wisconsin yet?
I don’t think its just debt. The Green Revolution is what did it for the 3rd World, it led to industrialized low-IQ rabbit production by the 1960’s. Norman Borlaug probably felt great doing it too- of course it leads to black cannibal gangs, expect to see that in Chicago before long, just like in Africa.
Just a note to mention that Mega Millions and Power Ball will no longer be available in Illinois due to budget problems.
https://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/20170627/albany-park/powerball-mega-millions-be-suspended-illinois-because-of-budget-woes