They are going to test it in Oakland:
We want to run a large, long-term study to answer a few key questions: how people’s happiness, well-being, and financial health are affected by basic income, as well as how people might spend their time.
But before we do that, we’re going to start with a short-term pilot in Oakland. Our goal will be to prepare for the longer-term study by working on our methods–how to pay people, how to collect data, how to randomly choose a sample, etc.
Oakland is a city of great social and economic diversity, and it has both concentrated wealth and considerable inequality. We think these traits make it a very good place to explore how basic income could work for our pilot…
In our pilot, the income will be unconditional; we’re going to give it to participants for the duration of the study, no matter what. People will be able to volunteer, work, not work, move to another country—anything. We hope basic income promotes freedom, and we want to see how people experience that freedom…
One reason we think it may work is that technological improvements should generate an abundance of resources. Although basic income seems fiscally challenging today, in a world where technology replaces existing jobs and basic income becomes necessary, technological improvements should generate an abundance of resources and the cost of living should fall dramatically.
Hypotheses are only hypotheses until they are tested, but based on my current understanding, all they are going to prove is that the era of post-scarcity will be an epic disaster of unimaginable proportions.
The problem is that they are completely focused on the environment, and completely ignoring the effect of the environment on the human machine, especially at the level of amygdala exercise and development. It is as if they think the only thing which ever changes is the environment, and the human is the same no matter what environment you put them in.
The truth is you can’t change the environment without changing the human, and more and more it looks like you also change the human germ line in Lamarkian fashion through epigenetics, in ways which aggregate generation to generation.
The human machine evolved to meet harshness. Introduce ease and safety, and the human form degenerates into a neurotic, panicky, fearful tyrant – and each generation is worse than the last. Indeed, I think if you could supply enough ease and safety for long enough, the effects absolutely would be on par with direct structural ablation of the amygdala. Compared to supplying free resources, simply brain damaging everyone with a scalpel would have the same effect, and be far cheaper.
Given the damage free resources inflicts on the human brain, I am beginning to wonder if it is the final Darwinian selection pressure a species is exposed to. Once so exposed, humans who seek out comfort are effectively culled by their own hedonistic desires. Those who pass the Darwinian test are those who find the ease interminably boring, relentlessly seek out amygdala-developing stimuli, and who are driven to make an escape from the tyrant r-strategists which the ease generates.
It might mean that if we ever find little green men who travel in flying saucers, they will be genetically-selected thrill seekers who revel in hardship and adversity. It would not be surprising, since they will have left a planet of unimaginable comforts and safety to travel across the galaxy, just to poke around.
Plus, if they were the type of individual to seek out free resources, you know they aren’t going to be accomplishing anything great like space travel.
[…] Guaranteed Basic Income To Be Tested In The US […]
1. Testing an idea is actually something I approve of. And this is how the US federal system should work
2. the results are going to be about what you have listed out. And nobody will learn. After what 10 or so years, Venezuela is showing what socialism does. And the response is “they didn’t do it right”. How many times of pushing people off the cliff and them dying is it going to take before we decide man can’t flap his arms and fly?
My guess is, they’re only testing for success, something the Left can trumpet forever. When it inevitably fails, we’ll never hear of it again. If spoken of at all, the failure will be explained away.
Reminds me of John Calhoun’s rodent experiments, the ‘Mouse Utopia’ in particular:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1644264/
[…] Anonymous Conservative on the guaranteed basic income test in Oakland. […]
I know this sounds very NRx of me, but what do you think about aristocracy? Personally, I think they’re half-half, with certain aspects of their life covered comfortably, but noblesse oblige changing the type of conflict they encounter, dependent on signalling virtue. It sounds like a good model to me with standard of living. Could be a way forward, or not?
I think it is complex, as you note, and it probably depends on whether your purpose is creating a society which persists, regardless of how comfortable it is to us, or if your goal is a moral K-society of maximum freedom. I think it would be tough to beat a ruthless dictatorship populated with violence capable worker bees, but it would be hell to live under. Conversely, a totally moral society can end up short lived, if it won’t break rules when it needs to.
True. I’d like to see more of your predictions about this Renaissance, give us something to hope for and maybe work toward.