Is defeat probable for GOP if Reagan wins nomination?
By Richard J. Cattani, Staff correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor / March 5, 1980
The nation’s Republicans are working against the clock to answer two key questions: Can conservative Ronald Reagan possibly attract enough independent and Democratic votes to win in November?
An if he is likely to lose, has former President Gerald Ford time enough to challenge him for the GOP nomination?
The consensus among political experts is that time has probably already run out for Gerald Ford, though he still appears the stronger choice to beat Jimmy Carter in November.
But some experts caution: Don’t count Ronald Reagan out as a national candidate for the fall… Intellectuals don’t want to take him seriously, but he does well with working-class voters. He would take the West, challenge President Carter in the South, and do well in the pivotal Midwest states like Ohio and Illinois, whose southern regions titled toward Carter in 1976, they say…
“Reagan is the opponent of choice for Carter,” says I. A. Lewis, director of the Los Angeles Times Poll, a point on which most analysts agree. “But Reagan can reach across and cause mischief in the Democratic constituency,” Mr. Lewis says. “Reagan appeals to blue collar, working-class voters. He can win Democratic votes.”
The parallels are really uncanny.
[…] Can Reagan Beat Carter? […]
I would really love to go back in time and learn this kind of useful history. Like someone who read every issue of say The New York Times or NY Daily news from 1800 to the present.
Election results from 1980 http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/national.php?year=1980
Reagan won 90.9% of the electoral vote.
Carter got only 9.1%.