Nate Silver Begins The Walk-back On The Polls

All of a sudden Nate realizes something:

Many 2016 polls may prove incorrect because so many Americans are undecided or else say they’re backing third parties, says Nate Silver, founder of the fivethirtyeight.com polling firm.

“Undecideds are MUCH higher than normal,” Silver said in a Tuesday morning tweet. “So risk of a polling error — in either direction — is higher than usual.”

One out of eight voters, or 12.5 percent, are either undecided or declaring support for other candidates during the last few days of the election.

That is up from one out of 32 voters in 2012, one out of 27 voters in 2004 and one out of 10 voters in 2000, when Texas Gov. George W. Bush barely beat Vice-President Al Gore.

So Silver is cautioning people to be ready for a major failure by the pollsters in predicting Americans’ last-minute choices.

Notice, up until the election they said that Hillary was up by three points. They did not say that there was a block of almost 13% that could go one way or another, and they had no idea how they would vote. If they were honest (and they believed that tripe), they would have said that that the election was unpredictable.

All of the polling is scripted in the kabuki theater that is American politics.

This is a good sign though. Undecideds, in an election of dissatisfaction and change, do not break for the establishment – especially the old, worn-out, crusty establishment.